US-China Relations in the Trump 2.0 Era: A Timeline

In a post on Truth Social on Wednesday, President Trump announced that the tariff rate on China will raise further to 125 percent, effective immediately. The action comes on the same day as China raised the tariff on US goods to 84 percent, matching the US’s previous tariff rate that also came into effect on April 9.

In the same post, Trump announced a 90-day pause in the reciprocal tariffs placed on all other countries, with the 10 percent minimum base tariff to remain in place for all countries and regions.

While China has yet to announce a countermeasure to the latest escalation, speaking at a regular press conference on April 10, Foreign Ministry spokesperson Lin Jian said that “there are no winners in tariff wars and trade wars” and added that “China does not want to fight, but is not afraid of fighting”. He also reiterated that China will “fight to the end” should the US continues its escalations.

China’s Ministry of Finance (MOF) has retaliated against the US’s imposition of a 104 percent tariff by raising the duty rate on US goods from 34 percent to 84 percent. The tariff hike comes on the same day as the US’s 104 percent tariff rate on Chinese goods took effect and matches the 84 percent “reciprocal” tariff announced by the Trump administration on April 8.

In its announcement, the MOF called Trump’s escalating tariffs “a mistake on top of a mistake” that “seriously infringes on China’s legitimate rights and interests and seriously damages the rules-based multilateral trading system”.

The new tariff rate will take effect on April 10. As of the time of writing, the US has yet to respond to China’s latest countermeasure.

On the same day Trump’s 104 percent tariff on Chinese goods took effect, the Chinese Ministry of Commerce (MOFCOM) placed an additional 12 American companies on the export control list and six on the unreliable entities list.

On April 4, MOFCOM placed 16 American companies on the export control list and 11 on the unreliable entities list (see April 4 entry).

The companies placed on the export control list include American Photonics, Novotech, Inc., Echodyne, and Firestorm Labs, Inc., all of which produce advanced technologies with potential (or explicit) military applications. According to MOFCOM, these companies were placed on the list “in order to safeguard national security and interests and fulfill international obligations such as non-proliferation”.

Meanwhile, the six companies on the unreliable entities list include Shield AI, Inc., Sierra Nevada Corporation, Cyberlux Corporation, and Hudson Technologies Co. Four of the six companies were already placed on the export control list on April 4.

Companies on the export control list will not be able to buy dual-use items from China, while the companies on the unreliable entities list will be prohibited from engaging in import and export activities related to China and from making new investments in China.

In an executive order signed on Tuesday, President Trump raised the reciprocal tariff rate on China from 34 percent to 84 percent, bringing the final rate to 104 percent. The additional 50 percent rate was implemented after China did not repeal the 34 percent duty it placed on US goods by April 8, as Trump had demanded. The 104 percent tariff, along with the reciprocal tariff rates placed on other countries, came into effect on Wednesday, April 9.

In addition to the higher flat tariff rate, the executive order also raised the duty rate and fees on de minimis shipments (small parcels for individual consumption under US$800 in value). The duty on these parcels had originally been raised to 30 percent of their value or a flat rate of US$25 (rising to US$50 from June 1) when Trump removed the de minimis exemption on parcels arriving from the Chinese mainland and Hong Kong on April 2. The rates, effective May 2, will now be as follows:

• A 90 percent ad valorem duty (up from 30 percent); or
• A flat duty of US$75 per postal item from May 2 (up from US$25), rising to US$150 per item from June 1 (up from US$50).

Speaking at a regular press briefing on Tuesday, Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Lin Jian stated that “China deplores and rejects” the suggestion of an additional 50 percent tariff and said that the US was engaging in “economic bullying”. He also stated that if the US is “determined to fight a tariff and trade war, China’s response will continue to the end”.

The Chinese government has pushed back against a threat from Donald Trump to further increase the tariff rate on Chinese goods.

In a post on Truth Social on Monday, Trump threatened an additional 50 percent tariff on Chinese goods if China does not withdraw the 34 percent tariff announced in retaliation for Trump’s reciprocal tariffs on China. The additional 50 percent tariff would be implemented from April 9 and would bring the final tariff rate on China to 104 percent.

In a message posted on its official website on Tuesday morning, a spokesperson for China’s Ministry of Commerce said that China “firmly opposes” the US’s threat of an additional 50 percent tariff, and that if it goes ahead with this escalation, “China will resolutely take countermeasures to safeguard its own rights and interests”. The spokesperson also called the threat “a mistake on top of a mistake” and an attempt by the US to “blackmail” China, and stated that China will “fight to the end”. However, the spokesperson also called on the US to “properly resolve differences with China through equal dialogue on the basis of mutual respect”.

Trump signed a second executive order on Friday delaying the ban on TikTok for another 75 days, one day before the ban was set to go into effect. This is the second executive order signed by Trump to delay the ban-or-sell deadline that was imposed by the TikTok divestment bill, which was signed into law by former President Joe Biden in April 2024.

According to reports, TikTok’s owner ByteDance was close to reaching a deal with the Trump administration to sell the US portion of TikTok, as required by the bill. However, this deal had been scuppered by the announcement of an additional 34 percent reciprocal tariff on Chinese goods on April 2.

It now appears likely that the Chinese government will seek to use the selling of TikTok as leverage in any potential trade negotiations with the US.

In a brief statement on its website, China’s State Administration for Market Regulation (SAMR) announced it has initiated an investigation into DuPont China Group Co., Ltd., the Chinese subsidiary of the American chemicals giant DuPont, for suspected violations of China’s Anti-Monopoly Law. While SAMR did not provide any information on the basis for the investigation into DuPont, according to a notice posted on US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) website, the probe is in relation to DuPont’s Tyvek business. Tyvek is a trademarked synthetic polyethylene material that is used widely in a variety of civilian and military settings.

According to reporting by Chinese media, DuPont has held a monopoly over this material and sought to use litigation to suppress smaller companies in China that have developed new technologies with similar performance.

The announcement of this probe is likely timed to act as a response to the 34 percent additional reciprocal tariff that Trump imposed on China on April 2. After Trump’s initial 10 percent tariff placed on China in early February, SAMR launched an investigation into Google for suspected violations of the Anti-Monopoly Law.

China’s State Council Tariff Commission in an announcement on Friday placed an additional 34 percent tariff on all goods entering the country from the US. Any current bonded and tax reduction and exemption policies will remain in place.

The new tariff will take effect from April 10, 2025. However, goods that have been shipped prior to April 10 and arrive in China between April 10 and May 13, the new rate will not apply.

This rate exactly matches the 34 percent tariff imposed on China by the Trump administration on April 2. However, the rate applied to China is in addition to the preexisting 20 percent rate imposed by Trump, meaning the final tariff rate on China will be 54 percent when the reciprocal tariff goes into effect on April 9.

The 34 percent rate that China has applied on US goods will also be on top of any other existing tariffs for the applicable goods.

On the same day, China’s Ministry of Commerce (MOFCOM) and Customs Administrations placed export restrictions on seven different types of rare earths, namely various derivations of samarium, gadolinium, terbium, dysprosium, lutetium, scandium, and yttrium. A MOFCOM spokesperson stated that these items have “dual-use attributes”, and that the export controls are aimed at “better safeguarding national security and interests and fulfilling international obligations such as non-proliferation”.

MOFCOM also placed 16 American companies on the “export control list” and 11 American companies on the “unreliable entities list”.

The stated motive for this move is “to safeguard national security and interests and fulfill international obligations such as non-proliferation”. The companies placed on the export controls list, which are mostly defense companies, include High Point Aerotechnologies, Sierra Nevada Corporation, Hudson Technologies Co., and Cyberlux Corporation. The companies placed on the unreliable entities list include Skydio Inc., BRINC Drones, Inc., and Red Six Solutions. According to a statement from the MOFCOM spokesperson, these companies have “carried out so-called military and technical cooperation with Taiwan despite China’s strong opposition, seriously undermining China’s national sovereignty, security and development interests”.

Companies included on the export control list will be barred from purchasing certain goods and products from China. Meanwhile, the companies included on the unreliable entities list are prohibited from engaging in import and export activities related to China and may not make any new investments in China.

On Wednesday, the same day the US tariff rate on Chinese imports was raised to 54 percent, President Donald Trump signed an executive order (EO) to once again end the de minimis exemption for parcels originating from the Chinese mainland and Hong Kong.

The de minimis exemption allows low-value packages – those worth under US$800 – to enter the US without customs duties or inspections. According to analysts, roughly four million packages per day entered the US under this exemption in 2024, many of them from Chinese e-commerce companies.

Trump had previously attempted to revoke the exemption as part of his February 1 tariff package but reversed the move within a week. On February 7, the White House issued an amendment delaying the change, following chaos at US logistics centers and customs warehouses. The US Postal Service had also temporarily suspended the acceptance of international parcels from the Chinese mainland and Hong Kong, but quickly reversed course.

The latest executive order claims that “adequate systems” are now in place to assess and collect duties on incoming parcels. As a result, the US will begin imposing duties on small-value packages from the Chinese mainland and Hong Kong starting May 2, 2025.

The Trump administration has justified the move by alleging that Chinese-based shippers use the de minimis channel to engage in deceptive shipping practices. The EO states that some Chinese exporters “hide illicit substances and conceal the true contents” of parcels, avoiding detection due to the limited screening associated with de minimis treatment. The White House has linked this to broader concerns about fentanyl trafficking, which it claims is facilitated in part through these small parcels.

Under the new rules, packages from mainland China and Hong Kong will be subject to the following duties:

• Ad valorem duty of 30 percent of the declared value of the postal item
• Specific duty:
  • US$25 per item between May 2 and May 31, 2025
  • US$50 per item beginning June 1, 2025

The EO directs the Secretary of Commerce to make an assessment of the potential impact of the order on American consumers and businesses, and provide a recommendation on whether the end of the exemption should also be extended to Macau “to prevent circumvention of this order”.

The end of the exemption is expected to have widespread implications for online retailers such as Shein, Temu, and Amazon, as well as for smaller US businesses that rely on low-cost Chinese imports. Analysts warn that the decision will also affect millions of American consumers by raising prices and causing delays at customs due to backlogs and new inspection protocols.

​On April 2, 2025, President Donald Trump announced a comprehensive overhaul of US trade policy, introducing significant tariffs on imports from various countries. This “Liberation Day” initiative aims to address perceived trade imbalances and bolster domestic industries.​

Key highlights inlcude:

• Universal tariff: A baseline 10 percent tariff will be applied to all imports entering the United States. ​

• China-specific tariffs: Chinese imports will face an additional 34 percent tariff on top of the existing 20 percent, culminating in a total tariff rate of 54 percent.

• Tariffs on other nations: Vietnam, Thailand, Cambodia, the European Union, and Japan will be subject to new tariffs of 46 percent, 36 percent, 49 percent, 20 percent, and 24 percent, respectively.

• Sector-specific tariffs: Additional duties of 25 percent will be imposed on foreign automobiles, car parts, steel, and aluminum. ​

The universal 10 percent import tariff is set to take effect on April 5, 2025.​ The additional “reciprocal” tariffs targeting specific countries will commence on April 9, 2025. ​The additional 25 percent tariff on foreign automobiles, car parts, steel, and aluminum would go into effect at midnight, April 3, 2025.

The announcement has led to significant volatility in global financial markets. Analysts express concerns about potential inflationary pressures and disruptions to international trade. While supporters argue that these measures will revitalize American manufacturing and reduce reliance on foreign goods, critics warn of escalating trade tensions and possible retaliatory actions from affected nations. ​As the situation develops, stakeholders across various sectors are advised to monitor policy changes closely and assess their potential impact on international trade and economic stability.​

US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer and Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng held a video call on March 26 to discuss the US-China economic and trade relationship. According to the US Trade Representative (USTR) readout, Greer emphasized President Trump’s commitment to a reinvigorated trade policy that strengthens domestic industry, safeguards national security, and ensures fair competition for American workers. He also raised concerns about China’s trade practices, which the US views as unfair and anticompetitive.

Meanwhile, according to the China State Council readout, Vice Premier He conveyed China’s concerns over additional US tariffs, particularly those tied to fentanyl-related issues and the Section 301 investigation. He urged the US to engage in equal consultations to address trade disputes. Both sides agreed that maintaining a stable economic relationship is in their mutual interest.

The meeting took place against the backdrop of Trump’s 20 percent tariffs on Chinese goods, which remain a key issue in bilateral trade talks. According to reports, Trump has suggested he may consider lowering tariffs on China in exchange for a deal over TikTok, which is coming up against an April 5 deadline to be sold or face a potential US ban.

The Bureau of Industry and Security (BIS) under the US Department of Commerce added 80 entities from a range of countries, over 50 of which are from China. According to the press release, the purpose of including these companies to the list is to restrict China from acquiring and developing high-performance and exascale computing capabilities and quantum technologies for military applications, as well as impeding China’s development of hypersonic weapons.

The entities notably include six subsidiaries of the Chinese cloud computing and big data services provider Inspur Group, including Inspur’s subsidiary in Taiwan (Inspur Taiwan). These entities were added “for their contributions to Inspur’s development of supercomputers for military end use, particularly by acquiring or attempting to acquire U.S.-origin items in support of supercomputer projects for the Chinese government and/or military”.

Inspur Group was placed on the Entity List in 2023.

Other entities added to the list include the Beijing Academy of Artificial Intelligence, a non-profit AI research lab; Nettrix Information Industry, a server manufacturer and IT system provider; and Suma Technology.

Companies included on the Entity List will be subject to export restrictions, and US companies will be unable to do business with the entities without a license.

In a regular press briefing on Tuesday, Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Guo Jiakun called the latest action “an abuse of [the US’s] entity list and other export controls” and that they were in violation of international law. He also repeated the line that “China will take necessary steps to firmly safeguard the lawful rights and interests of Chinese companies”, suggesting possible retaliation.

Chinese Premier Li Qiang met with Republican Senator Steve Daines, along with a group of American business executives in Beijing as a part of the annual China Development Forum.

According to the readout of the meeting, Li urged communication between China and the US, stating that “Both sides should choose dialogue rather than confrontation, and choose win-win cooperation instead of a zero-sum game.”

He also emphasized the importance of trade in bilateral relations, warning that “the more difficulties bilateral relations face, the more important it is to safeguard and develop China-US economic and trade cooperation.”

This was the first meeting between Chinese and US officials since Trump took office in January and comes amid an escalating trade war that has seen the US place 20 percent tariffs on goods coming from China.

During the last Trump administration, Daines played an important role in the negotiations for the Phase One US-China Trade Agreement, particularly in advocating for agricultural interests.

When asked in a regular press conference whether Daines’ trip signaled a possible meeting between Trump and Xi Jinping, Foreign Ministry spokesperson Mao Ning stated that “we […] welcome Americans from all walks of life, including members of the Congress, to visit China.”

The US Department of State on Thursday sanctioned the Huaying Huizhou Daya Bay Petrochemical Terminal Storage in Guangdong for allegedly “buying and storing Iranian crude oil from a sanctioned vessel.” Meanwhile, the Department of the Treasury (the Treasury) concurrently sanctioned the Shouguang Luqing Petrochemical Co., Ltd oil refinery in Shandong “for purchasing and refining hundreds of millions of dollars’ worth of Iranian crude oil.”

In addition, the Treasury sanctioned 12 entities and one individual and identified eight vessels as blocked property (property owned by sanctioned entities) for purportedly being part of Iran’s so-called “shadow fleet” of tankers, which ship “millions of barrels of Iranian oil to China”.

These sanctions are designed to end Iran’s oil exports. The US alleges that income derived from Iran’s oil exports is funding Iran’s attacks on US allies and helping to fund US-designated terrorist groups.

In a regular press meeting on Friday, Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Mao Ning called the action an “abuse of illicit unilateral sanctions and long-arm jurisdiction” and called for the US to stop “disrupting the normal business cooperation between China and Iran”. She also cautioned that China will “take all measures necessary to firmly safeguard the lawful rights and interests of our companies”.

President Donald Trump’s blanket 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada took effect on Tuesday, an extraordinary action aimed at bringing America’s top trading partners to heel. But it threatens to weaken the North American economy, including that of the United States, at a time of significant stress for inflation-weary consumers.

Trump also doubled the tariff on all Chinese imports to 20% from 10%. Those duties sit atop existing tariffs on hundreds of billions in Chinese goods. China and Canada immediately retaliated with tariffs on American goods, threatening to ignite a damaging trade war.

The Trump administration said the tariffs were necessary to stem the flow of fentanyl into the United States.*

China also announced Tuesday it would impose additional tariffs of up to 15% on some US goods from March 10 and restrict exports to 15 U.S. companies.

The retaliatory measures from China’s Ministry of Finance and Ministry of Commerce came just as additional U.S. tariffs took effect on Chinese goods.

The additional Chinese tariffs largely cover U.S. agricultural goods, including corn and soybeans, which will be subject to new duties of 15% and 10%, respectively, according to the finance ministry’s website.*

President Trump announced in a post on his social media platform Truth Social that he will impose and additional 10 percent tariff on Chinese imports starting March 4, the date on which the 25 percent tariffs on goods from Mexico and Canada will come into effect. In the post, Trump alleged that fentanyl coming into the US from Mexico and Canada are made and supplied by China, implying this is the reason for the tariff hike.

Trump already imposed a 10 percent tariff on all Chinese goods at the beginning of February, meaning the effective tariff rate would increase to 20 percent.

He also stated that the reciprocal tariffs on goods from all countries, announced on February 13, are scheduled to go into effect on April 2.

In a regular press conference on February 28, Chinese Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Lin Jian said that the “fentanyl issue is just an excuse the U.S. uses to impose tariffs on, pressure and blackmail China” and that “the fentanyl issue is the U.S.’s own problem”.

Meanwhile, a spokesperson from the Ministry of Commerce stated that “China will take all necessary countermeasures to defend its legitimate rights and interests”.

On Friday, February 21, Trump signed a National Security Presidential Memorandum (NSPM) directing the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS) to restrict China-affiliated investors from investing in technology, critical infrastructure, healthcare, agriculture, energy, raw materials, and other strategic sectors in the US.

The memorandum claims that foreign adversaries, including China, “systematically direct and facilitate investment in United States companies and assets to obtain cutting-edge technologies, intellectual property, and leverage in strategic industries”.

The memorandum also calls for establishing new rules to curb US investment in Chinese industries “that advance the PRC’s national Military-Civil Fusion strategy and stop PRC-affiliated persons from buying up critical American businesses and assets”.

In addition to restrictions on investment in strategic industries, the memorandum also calls for restricting the purchase of farmland and real estate near sensitive facilities. According to a White House Fact Sheet, around 2 percent of all US agricultural land is owned by foreign entities and individuals, and China owns more than 350,000 acres of farmland.

In a statement posted to its website, the Chinese Ministry of Commerce called on the US to “stop politicizing and weaponizing economic and trade issues”, and warned that stricter investment rules would undermine Chinese companies’ confidence in the US market and cause US companies to cede ground to key competitors in China.

Trump signed a memorandum on Thursday directing key ministers to implement a plan to impose reciprocal tariffs on all trade partners.

The “Fair and Reciprocal Plan”will examine non-reciprocal trade relationships with all trade partners, including tariffs on US products, unfair, discriminatory, or extraterritorial taxes on US businesses, workers, and consumers (including VAT), nontariff barriers or measures, including subsidies and regulatory requirements, and policies and practices that cause exchange rates to deviate from their market value.

Examples where the US’s trade partners do not provide reciprocal tariffs on American goods cited in a Fact Sheet include a 10 percent tariff imposed by the EU on American imported cars, while the US imposes a 2.5 percent tariff on European imported cars. Should the plan be implemented as intended, tariffs on car imports from the EU will rise to 10 percent.

The tariffs that Trump has imposed on products such as steel and aluminum, as well as the 10 percent tariff placed on Chinese goods, would be in addition to the reciprocal tariffs.

The broad scope of the types of duties and trade barriers targeted by the reciprocal action means further tariffs on Chinese goods could be very extensive. The US has in the past accused China of unfairly subsidizing the production of various goods the detriment of its domestic industries., and China also imposes VAT on most goods and services ranging from six to 13 percent.

In January of this year, the US Trade Representative released the results of an investigation into China’s shipbuilding subsidies, which concluded that China’s “targeting for dominance burdens or restricts U.S. commerce by undercutting business opportunities for and investments in the U.S. maritime, logistics, and shipbuilding sectors”. The report further stated that “responsive action is appropriate”.

It is also likely that the US’s major trading partners, such as the EU, will impose countermeasures on US goods in response to Trump’s actions.

In an interview with Fox News on Monday, Trump stated that he has spoken to Chinese President Xi Jinping “and his people” since the inauguration on January 20, without saying when the talk took place or what was discussed.

Trump added that he “loved talking to him” and that they have “a very good personal relationship”.

The Chinese side has not confirmed when or whether the call took place, and the last confirmed communication between the two leaders was a phone call on January 17.

A White House spokesperson said last week that Trump would speak to Xi Jinping within a few days, but no update has been given on the status of the talks.

On Monday, President Trump signed a proclamation announcing a 25 percent ad valorem tariff on all steel imports into the US and raises tariffs on aluminum imports from 10 to 25 percent. The tariffs will be applicable to imports from all countries and regions “without exception”, and will take effect on March 12.

According to the proclamation, the 25 percent tariff imposed on steel by Trump in 2018 effectively reduced the US’s reliance on imports and increased consumption of domestic supply. However, the proclamation asserts that various exemptions and alternative agreements negotiated with multiple countries and entities during the Trump and Biden administrations have led to imported steel comprising a proportion of US consumption comparable to levels prior to the initial tariff imposition. Additionally, the proclamation states that there is a “global excess capacity crisis” and that increasing Chinese steel exports in recent years is “displacing production in other countries and forcing them to export greater volumes of steel articles and derivative steel articles to the United States.”

As a result, the US will terminate all agreements and exemptions made with different trade partners and entities, and the 25 percent tariff will be reinstated for all steel imports.

Chinese direct exports of steel to the US are very small, accounting for just 0.8 percent of China’s total steel exports in 2024. However, Chinese steel exports to countries that are  major sources for steel imports for the US, such as Vietnam and Canada, accounted for 25.22 percent of China’s total steel exports in 2024, according to Investor.org.cn. As the tariff is effective worldwide, it will indirectly affect Chinese steel re-exports to the US via these third countries, thereby significantly impacting China’s global steel exports.

Speaking to reporters on Air Force One on Sunday, Trump announced he would impose an additional 25% tariff on US steel and aluminum imports. The new tariff, which will reportedly be officially announced and take effect on Monday, will be added to all existing duties.

In September 2024, the Biden administration raised the tariff on imports of Chinese steel and aluminum products to 25 percent.

China’s steel and aluminum exports to the US have fallen in recent years and make up a small percentage of China’s overall exports.

In addition to the steel and aluminum tariff, Trump said he would announce global reciprocal tariffs on Tuesday or Wednesday, which would go into effect immediately.

The Trump administration on Friday released an amendment to an Executive Order deferring the end to the de minimis exception after its sudden implementation on February 4 caused chaos at US logistics centers and customs warehouses. An estimated four million packages entered the US per day in 2024 under the de minimis exception, which allows packages under US$800 in value to forego customs inspections and duties.

The amendment states that duty-free de minimis treatment will be available on eligible packages until “adequate systems are in place to fully and expediently process and collect tariff revenue”.

In a notice posted to its website Wednesday, the USPS announced: “Effective February 5, 2025, the Postal Service will continue accepting all international inbound mail and packages from China and Hong Kong Posts. The USPS and Customs and Border Protection are working closely together to implement an efficient collection mechanism for the new China tariffs to ensure the least disruption to package delivery.”

In a notice posted to its website on Tuesday, the USPS announced that it will temporarily suspend international packages from the Chinese mainland and Hong Kong “until further notice”, effective the same day. Letters and “flats” (large envelopes, newsletters, and magazines) are unaffected.

On February 1, Trump signed an Executive Order which, among other actions, halted the de minimis exemption allowing parcels below US$800 in value to bypass customs inspections and duties when entering the US. The stated reason for halting the exemption is to prevent the import of fentanyl and chemical precursors, which arrive in the US via these types of small packages.

The halting of packages from China will severely affect online retailers such as Shein, Temu, and Amazon, as well as countless smaller retail businesses, whose business models are substantially based on exploiting this loophole. It will also have an immediate impact on American consumers, as millions of parcels that have already been shipped will be stuck in customs for an indeterminate amount of time. An analyst told Reuters that four million de minimis packages arrived in the US per day in 2024.

Shortly after the Trump administration’s 10 percent additional tariff on Chinese imports took effect, China’s Customs Tariff Commission announced a series of retaliatory tariffs on goods originating from the United States.

These are:

• A 15 percent tariff on coal and liquefied natural gas, and
• A 10 percent tariff on crude oil, agricultural machinery, large-displacement cars, and pickup trucks.

Additionally, corresponding tariffs will be imposed based on current applicable tariff rates. Existing bonded and tax reduction and exemption policies will remain unchanged, and the additional tariffs will not be reduced or exempted. These tariffs are set to take effect on February 10.

In addition to the tariff increase, China’s Ministry of Commerce and Customs Administration announced export controls on 25 rare earth metal items, citing the need to “safeguard national security and interests and fulfill international obligations such as non-proliferation.”

The items subject to export controls include various derivations of tungsten, tellurium, bismuth, and molybdenum, critical materials for industries such as electronics, aerospace, and renewable energy.

While the announcement did not explicitly link the export controls to US tariffs, China’s role as one of the largest producers of rare earth metals makes these products a significant bargaining chip in the context of a potential trade war. In an executive order signed on his first day in office, Trump called for “Restoring America’s Mineral Dominance,” which included expanding access to land for mining in the US. He has also pursued efforts to expand access to critical minerals overseas, including threatening to annex Greenland and recently demanding Ukraine provide access to rare earths in exchange for military aid.

Separately, the Trump administration imposed 25 percent tariffs on Canada and Mexico but postponed their implementation by 30 days in both cases following negotiations. However, no such deal has been reached between China and the United States. According to White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt, Trump is expected to speak with President Xi Jinping “in the next couple of days,” according to Reuters.

On Tuesday, China’s State Administration for Market Regulation (SAMR) announced that it has launched an investigation into Google for suspected violations of China’s Anti-Monopoly Law. The statement, published on SAMR’s website, did not provide specific details of the alleged violations. This news was released just one minute after the US’s 10 percent tariffs on Chinese imports took effect.

While Google’s search engine has not operated in China since 2011 and its Gmail service ended in 2014, some Google services and products, such as the Google Chrome browser, are still available in the country.

At the same time as the Google antitrust probe announcement, China’s Ministry of Commerce declared that it is adding two major US companies to its Unreliable Entities List: biotech giant Illumina, Inc. and fashion conglomerate PVH Group, the parent company of Calvin Klein and Tommy Hilfiger.

According to the Ministry, the two companies “violated normal market trading principles, interrupted normal transactions with Chinese companies, adopted discriminatory measures against Chinese companies, and seriously damaged the legitimate rights and interests of Chinese companies.”

Placement on the Unreliable Entities List subjects these companies to a range of potential penalties, including import and export restrictions, investment limitations, restrictions or prohibitions on company personnel entering China, revocation of work, stay, or residence permits for foreign staff, and fines.

Illumina has expanded its presence in China in recent years, establishing its first manufacturing site in Shanghai in 2022. Meanwhile, PVH Group has seen strong growth in the Chinese market, citing a 20 percent year-on-year increase in revenue in RMB terms in its 2023 Year in Review.

President Trump signed an executive order (EO) imposing an additional 10 percent tariff on Chinese goods entering the country, ostensibly to curb the import of fentanyl and other illicit substances. Canada and Mexico were separately hit with 25 percent additional tariffs under the same rationale. The additional tariffs will be levied “until the [illicit drug] crisis is alleviated”, according to a White House Fact Sheet.

The Fact Sheet also accused China of failing “to take the actions necessary to stem the flow of precursor chemicals to known criminal cartels and shut down money laundering by transnational criminal organizations”.

Under the Biden administration, the US and China increased collaboration to tackle the export of fentanyl and precursor chemicals from China to the US, launching the US-China Counternarcotics Working Group in January 2024. The initiative was a key part of the efforts to resume US-China cooperation on a variety of issues following years of diplomatic gridlock, and at the time was viewed as an easy win for the Biden administration. In April 2024, then-US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen announced the launch of the Joint Treasury-People’s Bank of China Cooperation and Exchange on Anti-Money Laundering. It is unclear whether these efforts will continue under Trump.

In addition to the tariffs, the EOs also announced a halt to the De Minimis exemption, which exempts parcels valued below US$800 from customs inspections and tariffs. The Trump administration has blamed small packages that fall under this threshold for the illegal import of fentanyl and precursor chemicals.

The suspension of the De Minimis exemption could significantly impact Chinese e-commerce giants like Shein and Temu, which have established vast customer bases in the US. Their business models heavily rely on exploiting this loophole by shipping low-value parcels directly from manufacturers in China to American consumers.

The tariffs will go into effect at 00:01 Eastern Time (13:01 China Standard Time) on Tuesday, February 4.

In response to the tariffs, a Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson said that China would “take necessary countermeasures to defend its legitimate rights and interests” and that the move violated WTO rules. China’s Ministry of Commerce also stated that it would file a lawsuit with the WTO and threatened to countermeasures to “safeguard its own rights and interests”.

On January 22, 2025, during a White House event, President Donald Trump announced plans to impose a 10 percent tariff on Chinese imports as soon as February 1, citing concerns over fentanyl shipments. He accused China of sending fentanyl to Mexico and Canada, which he claimed was then trafficked into the United States. In response, Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Mao Ning stated during a routine press briefing that China firmly opposes trade wars and tariff measures, emphasizing that “there are no winners in trade wars, and China will resolutely safeguard its national interests.”

President Donald Trump marked the start of his second term with a broad trade policy directive, prioritizing a methodical review of the United States trade relationships, including a sharp focus on China. While no immediate tariffs were announced, the administration signaled its intention to evaluate Beijing’s adherence to the 2020 trade agreement and address trade imbalances.

Key developments include:

• Trade memo announcement: The memo, issued shortly after Trump’s inauguration, directs federal agencies to scrutinize trade deficits and unfair practices by major trading partners, with China being a key focus.
• 2020 trade deal under review: Trump’s directive includes assessing China’s compliance with the 2020 deal, which required Beijing to increase purchases of US goods by US$200 billion annually—a commitment largely unmet due to the pandemic.
• Avoiding immediate tariffs: Contrary to campaign rhetoric promising steep tariffs on Chinese imports, the administration appears to be taking a more strategic approach. Analysts suggest this could calm financial markets in the short term.
• Universal tariff expected: Trade experts believe Trump remains committed to imposing a global tariff as part of his economic agenda. The administration is expected to invoke statutes like Section 232 or Section 301 for future trade actions. Trump’s measured approach to tariffs suggests a possible window for negotiations, but the administration’s broader goals—such as pushing China to fulfill its trade commitments—may lead to renewed tensions. The directive reinforces the administration’s intent to hold China accountable for practices perceived as unfair, maintaining pressure in line with Trump’s first-term trade strategy.

This measured start to Trump’s second term reflects his administration’s continued focus on reshaping US-China trade ties, signaling challenges ahead for the bilateral relationship.

On January 20, 2025, President Donald Trump signed an executive order to delay the enforcement of a TikTok ban for an additional 75 days.

Under the terms of the executive order, the US Department of Justice will refrain from enforcing the Foreign Adversary Controlled Applications Act, which had been passed with broad bipartisan support in Congress and signed into law by former President Joe Biden in April 2024. The Act required TikTok to either sell its U.S. operations to an American or allied buyer or face a ban, effective January 19, 2025.

Prior to his inauguration, Trump had pledged on social media to take executive action to prevent the law from taking effect. Following this announcement, TikTok restored access for existing users after the app had been offline for more than 12 hours from Saturday night to Sunday afternoon.

It remains unclear whether TikTok will be able to continue operating in the US after the 75-day delay. However, the extension provides TikTok’s China-based parent, ByteDance, with additional time to secure a potential buyer for the platform at least.

On January 20, 2025, former President Donald Trump signed an executive order to delay the enforcement of a TikTok ban for an additional 75 days.

Under the terms of the executive order, the US Department of Justice will refrain from enforcing the Foreign Adversary Controlled Applications Act, which had been passed with broad bipartisan support in Congress and signed into law by former President Joe Biden in April 2024. The Act required TikTok to either sell its U.S. operations to an American or allied buyer or face a ban, effective January 19, 2025.

Prior to his inauguration, Trump had pledged on social media to take executive action to prevent the law from taking effect. Following this announcement, TikTok restored access for existing users after the app had been offline for more than 12 hours from Saturday night to Sunday afternoon.

It remains unclear whether TikTok will be able to continue operating in the US after the 75-day delay. However, the extension provides TikTok’s China-based parent, ByteDance, with additional time to secure a potential buyer for the platform at least.

On January 20, 2025, newly inaugurated President Donald Trump stated that the United States would take back control of the Panama Canal. During his inauguration speech, Trump reiterated his accusation that Panama had broken promises made during the 1999 transfer of the canal and had allegedly allowed China to gain influence over its operation. He remarked, “We didn’t give it to China. We gave it to Panama, and we’re taking it back.” Although he did not specify when or how the US would pursue this goal, he previously suggested that military action could be a possibility, a comment that has drawn attention from both supporters and critics.

Trump’s statement on the Panama Canal was part of a wider discussion of his views on US territorial expansion. He invoked the concept of “Manifest Destiny,” historically associated with 19th-century US territorial expansion, and linked it to future goals for space exploration, specifically stating that the US would eventually aim to land astronauts on Mars. Some critics have expressed concerns that such rhetoric might encourage other countries, like Russia and China, to pursue more assertive actions in their respective geopolitical situations. Others have speculated that Trump’s statements may be a strategic move to set a strong negotiating position.

In his speech, Trump also reiterated plans to rename the Gulf of Mexico to the Gulf of America and expressed dissatisfaction with the transfer of the Panama Canal, calling it a “foolish gift.” His administration’s criticisms are based on claims of unfair treatment, particularly regarding shipping costs, though Panama has denied any unfair practices and emphasized that all vessels are treated equally, including those from China. While China does not control the canal itself, a subsidiary of Hong Kong-based CK Hutchison Holdings manages two ports near the canal’s Caribbean and Pacific entrances, which has been a point of contention in US-China relations.

The Panama Canal is a crucial waterway for both global trade and the US, playing a key role in the transportation of goods from Asia and in the export of US energy resources. Following Trump’s remarks, Panama’s maritime authority announced an audit of the Panama Ports Company, which manages the ports near the canal.

Tesla CEO Elon Musk’s meeting with China’s Vice President Han Zheng in Washington, D.C., ahead of Donald Trump’s second-term inauguration, has sparked fresh speculation about Musk’s role in shaping US-China relations. According to Chinese state media, Han invited US firms, including Tesla, to deepen investments in China and strengthen economic ties. Musk reportedly reaffirmed Tesla’s commitment to expanding cooperation with China, a vital market that accounts for nearly a quarter of the company’s revenue and hosts its most productive manufacturing hub in Shanghai.

The timing of the meeting, alongside broader discussions with US business leaders, suggests China’s intent to stabilize relations with the US while maintaining economic partnerships. Musk, whose business interests are deeply tied to China, has been described as a potential intermediary between the Trump administration and the Chinese government. This comes amid unresolved tensions over trade and technology, including speculation around Musk’s involvement in a possible TikTok joint venture.

As Trump prepares to recalibrate trade policies, the meeting underscores the critical intersection of business diplomacy and geopolitics in US-China relations.